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Monetary models that specify explicit frictions to generate money demand have beendeveloped over the last 20 years and have been used to address many questions. Inthis paper we investigate the short-r...
How Firms Respond to Business Cycles: The Role of Firm Age and Firm Size
Firm Age Firm Size
2015/9/18
There remains considerable debate in the theoretical and empirical literature about
the differences in the cyclical dynamics of firms by firm size. This paper contributes
to the debate in two ways. ...
Rational Expectations and Business Cycles.
ENDOGENOUS GROWTH AND ENDOGENOUS BUSINESS CYCLES
Endogenous Growth Endogenous Business Cycles Innovation R&D, Technological Progress RBC
2015/7/21
This paper presents a computable general equilibrium model of endogenous (stochastic) growth and cycles that can account for two key features of the aggregate data: balanced growth in the long run and...
We propose uncertainty shocks as a new shock that drives business cycles. First, we demonstrate that microeconomic uncertainty is robustly countercyclical, rising sharply during recessions, particular...
Business Cycles and Monetary Regimes in Emerging Economies: A Role for a Monopolistic Banking Sector
banking subsidiaries cross-border banking supervision and regulation
2011/9/30
This paper examines the negative externalities that may occur when a large bank fails, describes the nature of those externalities, and explores whether they may be greater in a case involving a large...
China's Emergence in the World Economy and Business Cycles in Latin America
China GVAR Great Recession emerging markets international business cycle Latin America trade linkages
2012/10/25
The international business cycle is very important for Latin America’s economic performance as the recent global crisis vividly illustrated. This paper investigates how changes in trade linkages betwe...
Nowcasting Business Cycles Using Toll Data
business cycles data mining evaluating forecasts macroeconomic forecasting new products transportation production forecasting nowcasting telemetry
2012/11/1
Nowcasting has been a challenge in the recent economic crisis. We introduce the Toll Index, a new monthly indicator for business cycle forecasting and demonstrate its relevance using German data. The ...
Indicators for Dating Business Cycles: Cross-History Selection and Comparisons
Indicators for Dating Business Cycles Cross-History Selection Comparisons
2014/3/18
The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)Business Cycle Dating Committee and the Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) Business Cycle Dating Committee date business cycle turning po...
Productivity trends in business cycles：a visual essay
Productivity trends business cycles visual essay
2009/7/22
Productivity measures are used to assess the state of the economy. The series of charts in this visual essay provides an overview of labor productivity and related measures in the U.S. nonfarm busines...
Productivity trends in business cycles: a visual essay。
Which industries are sensitive to business cycles?
business cycles industry’s historical correlation demand
2009/4/24
An analysis of the 1994-2005 projections can be used to identify industries that are projected to move differently with business cycles in the future than in the past, and to identify the industries a...
Lumpy Capital, Labor Market Search and Employment Dynamics over Business Cycles
labor market search lumpy capital business cycle job creation job destruction
2010/7/1
This paper incorporates labor search frictions into a model with lumpy investment to explain a set of firm-size-related facts about the United States labor market dynamics over business cycles. Contra...
What Causes Business Cycles? Analysis of the Japanese Industrial Production Data
Business Cycles Industrial Production Data
2010/11/3
We explore what causes business cycles by analyzing the Japanese industrial production data. The methods are spectral analysis and fac-tor analysis. Using the random matrix theory, we show that two la...
Speaker
Professor Gang Gong
School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University
Topic
Monopolistic Competition and Nonclearing Labor Market in Business Cycles
Time
December 1, 2004（Wed.）2:00...