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Establishing Credibility: A Rational Expectations Viewpoint
Establishing Credibility Rational Expectations Viewpoint
2015/8/5
Establishing Credibility: A Rational Expectations Viewpoint.
Rational Expectations and the Invisible Handshake
Rational Expectations Invisible Handshake
2015/8/5
Rational Expectations and the Invisible Handshake.
Rational Expectations and Business Cycles.
Parameterized Expectations Algorithm and the Moving Bounds
Nonlinear models Numerical solutions methods Optimal growth Parameterized expectations algorithm
2015/7/21
The Parameterized Expectations Algorithm (PEA) is a powerful tool for solving nonlinear stochastic dynamic models. However, it has an important shortcoming:it is not a contraction mapping technique an...
Dangerous Expectations:Breaking Rules to Resolve Cognitive Dissonance
Rule Breaking Unethical Behavior Expectancy Disconfirmation Cognitive Dissonance Misattribution
2015/4/29
When entering task performance contexts we generally have expectations about both the task and how well we will perform on it. When those expectations go unmet, we experience psychological discomfort ...
Off the Hook? Mistaken Expectations of Leniency in the Punishment of Transgressions
Bias Discrimination Leniency Transgressions Punishment Prejudice and Bias Behavior Ethics
2015/4/28
This paper combines experimental and field data to examine how those with the responsibility to enforce rules may penalize transgressors more harshly when they are faced with a conflicting motivation ...
Dynamics of Platform Competition:Exploring the Role of Installed Base,Platform Quality and Consumer Expectations
Price Network Effects Market Platforms Monopoly Quality Competitive Advantage Technology Platform
2015/4/20
This paper seeks to answer three questions. First, which drives the success of a platform, installed base, platform quality or consumer expectations? Second, when does a monopoly emerge in a platform-...
Super-exponential bubbles in lab experiments: evidence for anchoring over-optimistic expectations on price
rational expectations nancial bubbles speculation anchoring laboratory experiments behavioral model super-exponential growth
2012/6/2
We analyze a controlled price formation experiment in the laboratory that shows evidence for bubbles. We calibrate two models that demonstrate with high statistical significance that these laboratory ...
Adaptive Expectations, Confirmatory Bias, and Informational Efficiency
informational efficiency confirmatory bias agent-based models
2010/10/21
We study the informational efficiency of a market with a single traded asset. The price initially differs from the fundamental value, about which the agents have noisy private information (which is, ...