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Comment on ‘America’s Peacetime Inflation: The 1970s’ by J. Bradford De Long.
The covariance between U.S. Treasury bond returns and stock returns has moved considerably over time. While it was slightly positive on average in the period 1953–2009, it was unusually high in the ea...
The past five decades have seen tremendous changes in inflation dynamics in the United States. Some of the changes arguably stem from transformations in the U.S. economy. Energy is a smaller share of ...
This paper proposes the use of wavelet methods to estimate U.S. core inflation. It explains wavelet methods and suggests they are ideally suited to this task. Comparisons are made with traditional CPI...
Because asset prices are forward-looking, they constitute a class of potentially use-ful predictors of inflation and output growth. The premise that interest rates and asset prices contain usefu...
Forecasting inflation     Phillips curve  Forecast combination       2014/3/18
This paper investigates forecasts of US in#ation at the 12-month horizon. The starting point is the conventional unemployment rate Phillips curve, which is examined in a simulated out-of-sample foreca...

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