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This paper studies the properties of solutions to a log–linearized version of the neoclassical growth model with quasi-geometric discounting. We show that after the log–linearization, the model has in...
A cost analysis for the possibility of a log identification system using Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) is presented in this paper. The introduction provides a brief description of the RFID tec...
The LIBOR market model is very popular for pricing inter- est rate derivatives, but is known to have several pitfalls. In addition, if the model is driven by a jump process, then the complexity of t...
The extreme event statistics plays a very important role in the theory and practice of time series analysis. The reassembly of classical theoretical results is often undermined by non-stationarity a...
Abstract: In a previous paper it was shown that a Markov-functional model with log-normally distributed rates in the terminal measure displays nonanalytic behaviour as a function of the volatility, wh...
This working paper analyzes the gold price dynamics on the basis of methodology developed by Didier Sornette. Our calculations indicate that this dynamics is close to the one of the "bubbles" studied ...
The paper is motivated by a problem concerning the monotonicity of insurance premiums with respect to their loading parameter: the larger the parameter, the larger the insurance premium is expected to...
We derive the exact solution of a one-dimensional Markov functional model with log-normally distributed interest rates in discrete time. The model is shown to have two distinct limiting states, corres...
We analyze the financial crash in 2008 for different financial markets from the point of view of log-periodic function model. In particular, we consider Dow Jones index, DAX index and Hang Seng index...
We show that log-periodic power-law (LPPL) functions are intrinsically very hard to fit to time series. This comes from their sloppiness, the squared residuals depending very much on some combination...
A number of papers claim that a Log Periodic Power Law (LPPL) fitted to financial market bubbles that precede large market falls or 'crashes', contain parameters that are confined within certain rang...
The aim of this paper is to study the construction of prospective mortality tables from a low number of persons subjected to risk. The presented models are the Lee-Carter and log-Poisson methods resp...
The financial crisis of 1997-1998 in East and Southeast Asia has raised questions about the sustainability of some hitherto admired modes of poverty reduction. But this paper argues that there remai...
The distribution of the returns for a stock are not well described by a normal probability density function (pdf). Student’s t -distributions, which have fat tails, are known to fit the distributions ...
Applicability of the concept of financial log-periodicity is discussed and encouragingly verified for various phases of the world stock markets development in the period 2000-2010. In particular, a s...

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