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Fluid Heuristics, Lyapunov Bounds, and Efficient Importance Sampling for a Heavy-tailed G/G/1 Queue
State-dependent importance sampling Rare-event simulation Heavy-tails
2015/7/6
We develop a strongly efficient rare-event simulation algorithm for computing the tail of the steady-state waiting time in a single server queue with regularly varying service times. Our algorithm is ...
THE ROLE OF STATISTICAL HEURISTICS IN PUBLIC POLICY ANALYSIS
STATISTICAL HEURISTICS POLICY ANALYSIS econometric models
2008/12/3
Since policy prescriptions frequently are contradictory, people commonly
suspect that many researchers manipulate their statistical findings
to justify preconceived notions.