搜索结果: 1-15 共查到“固体地球物理学 prediction”相关记录19条 . 查询时间(0.398 秒)
By incorporating the architecture of city drainage systems and readings from flood gauges into a comprehensive statistical framework, researchers at Texas A&M University can now accurately p...
Short-term prediction of ionospheric parameters based on auto-correlation analysis
Ionospheric F region prediction auto-correlation method
2015/10/8
A prediction method based on a simple auto-regressive model has been developed for short-term prediction of ionospheric characteristics. The method determines the auto-correlation function for the hou...
A proposal of regionalization for the application of the CN earthquake prediction algorithm to the Italian territory
Earthquake prediction CN algorithm Italy seismotectonic model
2015/9/30
A regionalization of the Italian territory, strictly based on seismotectonic zoning and the main geodynamic features of the Italian area, is proposed for intermediate-term earthquake prediction with C...
An integrated study of physical precursors of failure in relation to earthquake prediction, using large scale rock blocks
precursors simulation failure complex parameter prediction earthquake
2015/9/30
This paper is multi-analysis approach to rock failure using metric size rock samples. The use of large-scale models permits simulation of the seismic process (including internal rupture on several sca...
Analysis of multidimensional geophysical monitoring time series for earthquake prediction
collective behaviour spectral matrices canonical coherences
2015/9/30
A method is presented for detection of synchronous signals in multidimensional time series data. It is based on estimation of eigenvalues of spectral matrices and canonical coherences in moving time w...
Probabilistic approach to earthquake prediction
precursors earthquake forecast statistical tests paleoseismology
2015/9/25
The evaluation of any earthquake forecast hypothesis requires the application of rigorous statistical methods. It implies a univocal definition of the model characterising the concerned anomaly or pre...
Quantitative prediction of strong motion for a potential earthquake fault
Earthquake earthquake earthquake fault fault
2015/8/28
This paper describes a new method for calculating strong motion records for a given seismic region on the basis of the laws of physics using information on the tectonics and physical properties of the...
Turning the rumor of the May 11, 2011, earthquake prediction in Rome, Italy, into an information day on earthquake hazard
Seismic hazard Education and outreach Seismic risk reduction
2015/8/26
A devastating earthquake was predicted to hit Rome on May 11, 2011. This prediction was never officially released, but it grew on the internet and was amplified by the media. It was erroneously ascrib...
Accounting for prediction uncertainty when inferring subsurface fault slip
Inverse theory Probability distributions Earthquake source observations
2014/4/9
This study lays the groundwork for a new generation of earthquake source models based on a general formalism that rigorously quantifies and incorporates the impact of uncertainties in fault slip inver...
Prediction and evaluation of nonlinear site response with potentially liquefiable layers in the area of Nafplion (Peloponnesus, Greece) for a repeat of historical earthquakes
Prediction and evaluation nonlinear site response potentially liquefiable layers Nafplion repeat of historical earthquakes
2011/1/19
We examine the possible non-linear behaviour of potentially liquefiable layers at selected sites located within the expansion area of the town of Nafplion, East Peloponnese, Greece. Input motion is co...
Shallow landslide prediction in the Serra do Mar, São Paulo, Brazil
Shallow landslide prediction Serra Sã o Paulo Brazil
2010/10/21
Various methods are currently used in order to predict shallow landslides within the catchment scale. Among them, physically based models present advantages associated with the physical description of...
Ground motion prediction from nearest seismogenic zones in and around Greater Cairo Area, Egypt
Ground motion prediction nearest seismogenic zones Greater Cairo Area Egypt
2010/10/21
This paper reviews the likely source characteristics, focal source mechanism and fault patterns of the nearest effective seismogenic zones to Greater Cairo Area. Furthermore, Mmax and ground accelerat...
Recent events in Haiti and Chile remind us of the devastation that can be wrought by an earthquake, especially when it strikes without warning. For centuries, people living in seismically active regio...
Forced versus coupled dynamics in Earth system modelling and prediction
Forced versus coupled dynamics Earth system modelling and prediction
2009/11/9
We compare coupled nonlinear climate models and their simplified forced counterparts with respect to predictability and phase space topology. Various types of uncertainty plague climate change simulat...
Growth of finite errors in ensemble prediction
Growth of finite errors ensemble prediction
2009/11/9
We study the predictability of chaotic conservative and dissipative maps in the context of ensemble prediction. Finite-size perturbations around a reference trajectory are evolved under the full nonli...